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Climate models are very complex, and one part of the models that is especially difficult to get correct is how the models handle clouds. Clouds tend to be smaller than the grid size of the models and reach to different wavelengths of light in different ways. High clouds during the day can cool things off…
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With just a few days left in the official 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics are still holding out hope for another named storm. A frontal boundary is expected to stall over the central Atlantic, and since the water there is so warm, a non-tropical low could briefly transition into a tropical storm within the…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
I’ve been collecting stories that might be of interest to you. They cover a variety of topics on agriculture and climate. Since I am only posting four days a week, they tend to pile up! Hope you find something useful to you or at least interesting. The picture on the bottom is not mine but…
Posted in: Climate and Ag in the news -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain in midweek will provide some relief to areas that are currently experiencing exceptional drought, but areas to the south down into Florida will see much less rain so any relief there will be limited. The long-term pattern continues to show us moving into a period of more…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
By this point it should be no surprise that with a strong El Nino occurring now in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, the latest climate outlook shows the classic rainfall pattern of wetter than normal conditions across all of the Southeast. In many parts of the region the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions is greater…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA released the latest monthly climate summary for October 2023 earlier this week. It shows that October was the warmest October on record since observations began in 1880. This is the 5th month in a row that set a new record for temperature. January through October was also the warmest such period on record, and…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that drought expanded in every state in the Southeast due to the continued lack of rainfall along with warmer than normal temperatures. Extreme (D3) and exceptional (D4) drought now cover almost 15% of the total area and are particularly apparent in northern Alabama and northwest Georgia. Puerto…
Posted in: Drought