Climate outlooks

  • The latest monthly outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows a pattern of temperature and precipitation that is what you might expect from a La Nina winter, with warmer and drier conditions expected in the southern part of the region and less signal farther north, where things vary a lot more from one La Nina…

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  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • The low pressure area that is developing in Texas has a big rain shield ahead of it. That should move into the Southeast later this weekend, bringing rain to a lot of the region other than the Florida peninsula and the Southeast coast. That should help keep drought from expanding in next week’s Drought Monitor…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that nearly all of the region will receive less than 1/2 inch of precipitation this week. The highest amounts will be in the Appalachians and the Florida peninsula. There will be a storm developing off the East Coast by mid-week, but most of the rain from that storm will…

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  • The State Climate Office of North Carolina has posted their latest seasonal update on their blog. It contains some additional analysis that I did not put in my blog post yesterday that you might find helpful. Even though it is geared for North Carolina, a lot of the information is generally correct for the Southeast…

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  • The December through February winter climate outlook was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today. It shows a pattern that we typically see in La Nina winters, with warmer and drier than normal conditions expected across large parts of the Southeast. This is likely to lead to an expansion of drought over the winter, although…

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  • Now that Nicole has moved out of the Southeast, most of the region will be relatively dry this week. The wettest part is likely to be Alabama and the Southern Appalachians, which will experience rain from the next precipitation-producing system that is brewing in the western Gulf. Southern Florida and most areas that received rain…

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